Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ADA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-10-26 0.444295 0.505577 0.570973 0.645808 0.728931 0.818277 0.921427
2025-11-02 0.341242 0.424083 0.519119 0.635613 0.773922 0.932221 1.126403
2025-11-09 0.268027 0.362156 0.477718 0.628591 0.818764 1.048792 1.346145
2025-11-16 0.215440 0.315259 0.445883 0.626639 0.867157 1.172733 1.586286
2025-11-23 0.173080 0.273591 0.413397 0.617717 0.903512 1.283165 1.818487
2025-11-30 0.146009 0.247942 0.397896 0.628110 0.964716 1.429648 2.108866
2025-12-07 0.120115 0.219055 0.372854 0.620510 0.998260 1.539538 2.356813
2025-12-14 0.102014 0.198965 0.357607 0.624480 1.047400 1.673597 2.647067
2025-12-21 0.084822 0.177035 0.335854 0.614768 1.073477 1.774379 2.894617
2025-12-28 0.076043 0.168378 0.334594 0.637389 1.151166 1.957060 3.274940
2026-01-04 0.068288 0.160137 0.332657 0.658061 1.226637 2.140523 3.666976
2026-01-11 0.059570 0.148272 0.322321 0.662420 1.274461 2.282439 4.001700
2026-01-18 0.051539 0.136433 0.310627 0.663393 1.317237 2.420360 4.341135
2026-01-25 0.044581 0.125523 0.299131 0.663223 1.357628 2.556654 4.685928
2026-02-01 0.038599 0.115587 0.288097 0.662452 1.396429 2.692259 5.036997
2026-02-08 0.033715 0.107242 0.279134 0.664553 1.440295 2.838820 5.414185
2026-02-15 0.028911 0.097963 0.266650 0.657774 1.466227 2.954771 5.744505
2026-02-22 0.026002 0.093153 0.263607 0.670422 1.530655 3.143135 6.210321
2026-03-01 0.022366 0.085344 0.252212 0.663438 1.555003 3.259167 6.553384
2026-03-08 0.019825 0.080176 0.246473 0.668316 1.603588 3.422599 6.989277
2026-03-15 0.016963 0.073194 0.234958 0.658440 1.620310 3.526235 7.320624
2026-03-22 0.015833 0.071728 0.237778 0.682708 1.711340 3.777397 7.936206
2026-03-29 0.014712 0.070012 0.239652 0.704814 1.799144 4.026607 8.558903